Lamar Stevens Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

NBA · Player Props

Lamar Stevens

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Stevens Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lamar Stevens has converted 5.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 more than he's made in all games this season.
Lamar Stevens has successfully made 100.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 53.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while playing away from home.
Out of all players in the league, Lamar Stevens registers in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, registering a lowly 0.9 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to their opposition this year (106.4).
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Memphis Grizzlies's impressive 22.0 free throws per game measures as the 9th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Lamar Stevens has been on the court for 9.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the least-used players in the league: 17th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 4thworst in in the league with only 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
While playing at home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).