Lamar Stevens Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Lamar Stevens

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Stevens Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lamar Stevens has sunk 60.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 6 games at home, 9.8% more than he's converted in all games this season on his home court.
Lamar Stevens has successfully made 75.0% of his treys over the last 10 games, 20.8% more than he's made over the course of the year.
Lamar Stevens has been called for 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the league (17th percentile).
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has brought down 8.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 17.7 clip, Lamar Stevens's playing time has regressed this year to 9.3 minutes per game.
Over the last 10 games, their opposition has tallied 118.2 points per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 4thworst in in the NBA while at home with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.