Lamar Stevens Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

NBA · Player Props

Lamar Stevens

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Stevens Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Lamar Stevens comes in at the 21st percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.2 fouls per game while playing away from home since the start of last season.
As it relates to offense, the Boston Celtics's fantastic 123.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the NBA this year.
The Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Magic).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense).
Lamar Stevens has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

Lamar Stevens has made 0.0% of his shots from downtown while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 12th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled 0.0 threes per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Magic, creating a difficult matchup.
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting Cs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.