Lamar Stevens Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Lamar Stevens

NBA · Player Props

Lamar Stevens

F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Stevens Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lamar Stevens has sunk 62.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 26.1% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year on the road.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Magic is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.7).
The Magic have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should increase possessions for the Cavaliers.
At home, the Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Lamar Stevens will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player production for all stats.

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