Lamar Stevens Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Lamar Stevens

NBA · Player Props

Lamar Stevens

F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Stevens Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lamar Stevens has converted 66.7% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 31.0% more than he's made over the course of the year while playing on the road.
The matchup vs. the Hawks is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.8).
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase possessions for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
Lamar Stevens will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production for all stats.

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