Lamar Stevens Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Lamar Stevens

NBA · Player Props

Lamar Stevens

F · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Stevens Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Lamar Stevens comes in at the 21st percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.2 fouls per game while playing away from home since the start of last season.
The Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Magic).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense).
Lamar Stevens will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Lamar Stevens has posted 0.5 assists per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the worst players in the NBA in this category: 6th percentile.
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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