Kyrie Irving Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Kyrie Irving

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has posted 4.0 defensive boards per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 80th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
Kyrie Irving has tallied a measly 1.8 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.8 fouls per game last season.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Kyrie Irving has averaged a measly 32.4 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 36.9 minutes per game last season.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have collected 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
Kyrie Irving will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance across the board.

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