Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

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Kyrie Irving

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 4, 2025 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has attempted 22.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Kyrie Irving has averaged 35.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Mavericks check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.
Kyrie Irving has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Kyrie Irving will likely get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a challenging one; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting team, they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (15.2).
The 7th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Kings are the visiting squad (8th-least in the league).

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