Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 22, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has attempted 8.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game at home this year.
In terms of scoring, the Mavericks's stellar 115.2 points per game comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year.
Kyrie Irving has converted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's made over the course of the year.
Kyrie Irving will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have compiled the lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (39.8%).
The 6th-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).