Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2024

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Kyrie Irving

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 16, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has averaged 22.3 points per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard.
Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving registers in the 88th percentile for three-pointers hit while at home, compiling 2.6 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 34.7 minutes per game on his home court this year.
As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's stellar 114.9 points per game ranks 10th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a good one for field goals; when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (54.7%).

Favors Under

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.
The Mavericks rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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