Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 5/30/2024

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Kyrie Irving

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 30, 2024

Updated May 31, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Kyrie Irving has attempted just 7.0 threes per game this season, significantly less than his 8.3 rate last season.
Kyrie Irving has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 1.3 threes per game (fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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