Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 5/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 28, 2024

Updated May 29, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving comes in at the 98th percentile for shots from the field converted, compiling a whopping 9.4 per game this year.
Kyrie Irving has successfully made 2.9 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 36.0 minutes per game this year.
In terms of scoring, the Mavericks's superb 116.2 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the league this year.
The matchup against Minnesota is a favorable one for threes; when the Timberwolves are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.6).

Favors Under

Kyrie Irving has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).