Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 5/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 26, 2024

Updated May 27, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving places in the 98th percentile for field goals scored, registering a colossal 9.4 per game this year.
Kyrie Irving has converted 2.9 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.
Kyrie Irving has played 42.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 5.3 more than he's played overall this season at home.
As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a positive matchup.

Favors Under

Kyrie Irving has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).