Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2024

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Kyrie Irving

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 22, 2024

Updated May 23, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving lands in the 96th percentile for shots hit on the road, registering an enormous 9.0 per game this year.
Kyrie Irving has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Kyrie Irving has attempted a measly 7.1 treys per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 8.3 rate last season.
Kyrie Irving has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The matchup against Minnesota is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.3).
The 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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