Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2024

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Kyrie Irving

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 14, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 32.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The matchup against the Thunder is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting PGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7).
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.
The Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 8.3 mark, Kyrie Irving's shots from behind the three-point arc have dropped this year to 7.1 per game.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last year's 4.1 rate, Kyrie Irving's free throws hit have decreased this year to 3.1 per game.
Kyrie Irving will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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