Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Kyrie Irving

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has attempted 24.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
Kyrie Irving has converted 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three overall this season while at home.
Kyrie Irving has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Washington is a positive one; when the Wizards are away from home, they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (16.9).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Washington Wizards have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Wizards, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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