Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has successfully made a whopping 10.5 baskets per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 9.9 mark last season.
Kyrie Irving has attempted 7.6 threes per game this season, significantly more than his 8.4 rate last season.
Kyrie Irving has been called for just 1.9 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.8 fouls per game last season.
In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 119.7 points per game comes in as the 5th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Portland is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Trail Blazers are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 30th-highest FG% in the league this year (50.6%).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 36.9 mark, Kyrie Irving's playing time has been reduced this year to 32.4 minutes per game.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, struggling to get to the charity stripe.