Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has played 37.6 minutes per game over the last 9 games, 5.2 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Houston Rockets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 89.4% clip, Kyrie Irving's free-throw efficiency has spiked this season to 100.0%.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 8.3 clip, Kyrie Irving's 3-point attempts have dropped this year to 7.2 per game.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have scored 10.2 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game since the start of last season (11th-least in the NBA).