Kyrie Irving Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 9:08 PM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has successfully made 56.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving places in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 36.8 minutes per game this year.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team.
The 8th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from facing the quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Spurs).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving registers in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.8 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Spurs are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.4).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the league on their home court with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have snagged 11.2 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (preserving possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.