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Kyrie Irving

Kyrie Irving Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Kyrie Irving Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyrie Irving has converted 3.2 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Kyrie Irving has played 36.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.0).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyrie Irving has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (89th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Miami may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Heat are at home (13th-least in the league).

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