Kyrie Irving Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2024

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Kyrie Irving

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 7, 2024

Updated May 8, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-141/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has put up 5.0 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the best in the league by this metric recently: 91st percentile.
Kyrie Irving has played 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's played in all games this season.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost opportunities for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Kyrie Irving has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Kyrie Irving will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production for all stats.

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