Kyrie Irving Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Kyrie Irving

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+114/-157).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has totaled 5.2 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 92nd percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the league while playing away from home with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
Kyrie Irving will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to worsen stat production for all stats.

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