Kyrie Irving Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Kyrie Irving

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -164.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has totaled 6.8 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the hottest players in the league by this metric over this stretch of games: 96th percentile.
Kyrie Irving has played 36.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 100th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Kings have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.
Away from home, the Kings have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kyrie Irving has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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