Kyrie Irving Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2023

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Kyrie Irving

NBA · Player Props

Kyrie Irving

G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 1, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kyrie Irving Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyrie Irving has averaged 6.0 assists per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
Kyrie Irving has played 36.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kyrie Irving has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (89th percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kyrie Irving will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduces player production for all stats.

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