Kyle Kuzma Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 11:50 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 8 games away from their home city, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Washington Wizards.
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have captured 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has put up a measly 4.6 defensive boards per game this season, significantly less than his 6.4 defensive boards per game last season.
Kyle Kuzma has tallied just 29.9 minutes per game this year, quite a bit less than his 34.4 minutes per game last year.
Kyle Kuzma has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
The Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

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