Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2025

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 22, 2025

Updated Apr 22, 2025 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 28.9 minutes per game away from home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the 7th-speediest pace team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
The matchup vs. Indiana is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.0 free throws per game this year when the Pacers are playing at home (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 8.7 mark, Kyle Kuzma's field goals drained have tailed off this season to 5.6 per game.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted a lowly 4.8 3-point shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 6.4 rate last year.
The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.9).
The Bucks have played at the 9th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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