Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2025

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 10, 2025

Updated Apr 11, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 30.2 minutes per game this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Bucks are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-quickest tempo road team in the league over the last 25 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 19 games when the Pelicans are the visiting team (8th-most in the NBA).
Kyle Kuzma figures to see a spike in performance across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 18.8 clip, Kyle Kuzma's shots have been reduced this season to 13.2 per game.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least FG attempts per game in the league this year (9.1).
The 6th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma has converted just 61.8% of his free throw attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 75.9 rate last year.

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