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Kyle Kuzma

Kyle Kuzma Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2025

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 13.3 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.

Kyle Kuzma has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's played over the course of the year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).

The matchup vs. Pelle Larsson is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Larsson is playing at home fellow starting SFs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 44.4% of their attempts from downtown (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma slots into the 19th percentile for 3-point proficiency while playing away from home with a poor 23.8% rate this year.

Kyle Kuzma has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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