Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2025

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 26, 2025

Updated Mar 27, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 6.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Kyle Kuzma has played 33.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 4.8 more than he's played in all games this year on the road.
With respect to threes, the Bucks's impressive 38.3% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-most in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league in their home stadium this year, which should raise possessions for the Bucks.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 3.7 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma has made 60.9% of his free throws this year, placing him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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