Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2025

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 22, 2025

Updated Mar 23, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has successfully made 50.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 8.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the year away from home.
Kyle Kuzma has played 28.8 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
With respect to shooting, the Bucks's impressive 116.8 points per game as the visting team comes in as the 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, branding this as a positive matchup.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Bucks.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Kyle Kuzma has failed to convert 1.2 foul shot attempts per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.8 mark last year.
Kyle Kuzma will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production across the board.

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