Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2025

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 15, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 29.6 minutes per game this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.7 free throws per game this year (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has attempted a mere 13.4 field goals per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 18.8 rate last year.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 2.9 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Pacers, making this a difficult matchup.
The Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 75.9% clip, Kyle Kuzma's foul-shot efficiency has declined this season to 59.6%.

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