Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2025

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 27, 2025

Updated Feb 28, 2025 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 6.4 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Kyle Kuzma has averaged 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The matchup against Denver is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Nuggets are away from home (10th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least treys per game in the league this year (1.1).
The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 8th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
In comparison to last season's 75.9% clip, Kyle Kuzma's free-throw prowess has regressed this season to 57.8%.

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