Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2025

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards · Jan 18, 2025

Updated Jan 19, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 shot attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, creating a positive matchup.
The 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Wizards.
The Wizards rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 32.2% mark, Kyle Kuzma's 3-point effectiveness has been reduced this season to 20.3%.
With respect to scoring, the Washington Wizards's lackluster 106.7 points per game as the visting team places 4th-lowest in the league this year.
Kyle Kuzma has sunk a mere 48.4% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit less than his 75.9 rate last year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Warriors, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
Kyle Kuzma ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this contest.

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