Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2025

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 16, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Wizards have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards grade out 8th-best in in the league with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 7.5 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.
Kyle Kuzma will likely see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 18.8 clip, Kyle Kuzma's shots from the field have dropped this year to 13.9 per game.
Kyle Kuzma has successfully made a lowly 21.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, significantly lower than his 32.2 mark last year.
Kyle Kuzma has been on the court for a mere 26.9 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 32.6 minutes per game last year.
As it relates to shooting, the Wizards's lackluster 104.2 points per game places 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (0.9).

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