Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Washington Wizards · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 1:30 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league this year.
The Wizards will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
Kyle Kuzma has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from his home court.
The matchup against New Orleans may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home (7th-most in the league).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 32.2% clip, Kyle Kuzma's 3-point proficiency has regressed this season to 23.2%.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have tallied 3.4 three attempts per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, resulting in a difficult matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 7thworst in in the NBA on the road with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Kyle Kuzma ought to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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