Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Dec 30, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 11:54 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have averaged 47.7% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Knicks, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The Wizards have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on their home court.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards grade out 3rd-best in in the league as the home team with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the New York Knicks may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (5th-most in the NBA).
Kyle Kuzma will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 18.8 rate, Kyle Kuzma's field goal attempts have dropped this season to 15.1 per game.
Kyle Kuzma has been on the court for just 27.4 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 32.6 minutes per game last year.
The Wizards check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year.
The Washington Wizards will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Knicks).
Kyle Kuzma has made 58.8% of his free throws this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA.

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