Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 9:59 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has successfully made 50.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.5% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
The Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Wizards.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 2.5 three attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 75.9% rate, Kyle Kuzma's foul-shot ability has been reduced this season to 56.0%.
Kyle Kuzma will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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