Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics · Nov 22, 2024

Updated Nov 23, 2024 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma registers in the 90th percentile for three-point attempts while at home, tallying 6.7 per game since the start of last season.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
As a team, the Washington Wizards have been very successful at drawing fouls in recent games: 7th-best in the league over the last 5 games while at home, tallying 23.8 foul shots per game.
Kyle Kuzma will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 18.8 mark, Kyle Kuzma's shots taken have dropped this season to 16.5 per game.
Relative to last year's 32.6 clip, Kyle Kuzma's playing time has fallen this year to 27.9 minutes per game.
This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Celtics, creating a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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