Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has put up 26.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.6 more than he's put up in all games this season.
Kyle Kuzma has converted 52.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 5.8% more than he's put through the net overall this season.
Kyle Kuzma has played 31.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Wizards's feeble 111.9 points per game measures as the 10th-fewest in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Bulls is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 3rd-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.5).
The Washington Wizards are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
Kyle Kuzma will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production across the board.

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