Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards · Mar 14, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 6:16 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has scored 26.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's scored in all games this year.
Kyle Kuzma has converted 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown overall this season when playing on the road.
Kyle Kuzma has played 31.8 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a strong one; they have allowed the 7th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 5 games (21.4).
When playing at home and facing other starting PFs, Dillon Brooks places in the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 4.9 shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against him per game this year.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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