Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards · Mar 12, 2024

Updated Mar 13, 2024 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has scored 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's scored over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma measures in the 91st percentile for three-point attempts without the home court advantage, averaging 6.4 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 42.9% on three-pointers (3rd-best in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, branding this as a good matchup.
The number of shot attempts from the field against Trey Jemison has been very high (11.7 per game) when on his home court and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Kyle Kuzma will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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