Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

LA Clippers vs Washington Wizards · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma places in the 96th percentile for shots when playing on the road, averaging 18.8 per game this year.
Kyle Kuzma has sunk 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year away from home.
Kyle Kuzma has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games as the road team.
The Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the league this year.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for threes; when the LA Clippers are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 15th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
The Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have come down with 12.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers (preserving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).