Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Washington Wizards · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 3:27 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has successfully made 10.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 6.3 treys per game away from home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.
Kyle Kuzma has averaged 31.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Wizards have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home in regard to three-point attempts.
This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 5.6 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Lakers, designating this as a good matchup.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.3 more than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards rank 4thworst in in the league with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
Kyle Kuzma ought to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this contest.