Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 21.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Among all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
Kyle Kuzma has made 90.1% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 12.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a hard one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Washington Wizards are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Celtics).
The Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance across the board.