Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Utah Jazz · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 18.5 shots per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
Kyle Kuzma has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
In regard to offense, the Wizards's terrific 49.6% field goal rate when playing at home rates 7th-strongest in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Wizards have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) vs. the Jazz (lengthening possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

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