Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 8.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Kyle Kuzma has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Washington Wizards.
Kyle Kuzma has made 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.7% more than he's made overall this year.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.2 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.5).
The Washington Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Indiana Pacers have allowed the most offensive boards per game (12.7) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player production in all facets of the game.