Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 19.0 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 9.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Kyle Kuzma has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year.
The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 44.1% on field goal attempts (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Cleveland Cavaliers have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kyle Kuzma is expected to experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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