Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 17.3 shots per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 6.5 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
When it comes to scoring, the Washington Wizards's stellar 116.6 points per game measures as the 10th-strongest in the NBA this year.
The Washington Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Favors Under

Kyle Kuzma has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have averaged 11.4 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nets, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Washington Wizards.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards rank 1stworst in in the league with the home court advantage with only 7.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have collected 13.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nets (maintaining possessions that can bring about further chances for offense).

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