Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 17.7 shots per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kyle Kuzma has attempted 8.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma comes in at the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Washington Wizards's exceptional 124.4 points per game at home rates 7th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against Orlando is a difficult one; when the Magic are on the road, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
The Wizards rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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