Kyle Kuzma Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Kyle Kuzma

NBA · Player Props

Kyle Kuzma

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Kuzma Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kyle Kuzma has attempted 16.9 shots per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.
With respect to offense, the Wizards's outstanding 115.6 points per game while at home places 10th-strongest in the league this year.
The most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-fastest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 11 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Kyle Kuzma has successfully made a terrific 86.7% of his free throws this year, quite a bit higher than his 73.4 rate last year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a challenging one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (10.9).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has captured 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans (lengthening possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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